Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.233343 3.420895 3.620273 3.849172 4.106193 4.387679 4.721786
2025-04-27 3.008548 3.272319 3.567956 3.928197 4.361557 4.874757 5.542583
2025-05-04 2.860470 3.185434 3.566867 4.057752 4.689159 5.500174 6.671191
2025-05-11 2.700210 3.064761 3.509269 4.108911 4.928592 6.067892 7.905125
2025-05-18 2.538869 2.925643 3.412019 4.094627 5.079088 6.552513 9.214505
2025-05-25 2.357188 2.744619 3.242360 3.960940 5.039299 6.749455 10.153433
2025-06-01 2.229430 2.622494 3.138334 3.904786 5.104125 7.131836 11.667585
2025-06-08 2.126278 2.524566 3.057623 3.871476 5.198072 7.593446 13.711719
2025-06-15 2.051178 2.458384 3.014387 3.887665 5.375223 8.270541 17.044189
2025-06-22 1.954481 2.356276 2.911845 3.800464 5.358891 8.554648 19.632874
2025-06-29 1.855744 2.245864 2.789791 3.670420 5.245762 8.597307 21.495485
2025-07-06 1.786475 2.172985 2.717822 3.614353 5.262006 8.953994 25.698376
2025-07-13 1.741766 2.137326 2.705754 3.668637 5.528462 10.141335 41.497197
2025-07-20 1.701874 2.106473 2.699090 3.732945 5.837636 11.705988 95.705645
2025-07-27 1.674631 2.092391 2.717312 3.844518 6.286860 14.234919 NaN
2025-08-03 1.634177 2.056372 2.698115 3.886113 6.594116 16.746947 NaN
2025-08-10 1.585536 2.005422 2.651143 3.869768 6.758113 18.980388 NaN
2025-08-17 1.520715 1.926969 2.554355 3.746702 6.614007 19.345620 NaN
2025-08-24 1.473560 1.873501 2.495912 3.694243 6.655566 21.129580 NaN
2025-08-31 1.433600 1.829302 2.450267 3.662888 6.752330 23.729373 NaN
2025-09-07 1.404165 1.800002 2.427826 3.676563 6.989909 28.698200 NaN
2025-09-14 1.361308 1.748034 2.363837 3.597132 6.920893 30.390357 NaN
2025-09-21 1.314620 1.688551 2.284363 3.478967 6.706737 29.791980 NaN